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Frozen pre-match forecast · #8723

Sporting Lieşti VS Înainte Modelu

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:31 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.63%
Draw
33.73%
Away
31.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.6412
Log loss
1.0604

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:31 UTC
SHA-256
6835b7bf0e4ca22271902f61de8df144d7fd446fd519c6a52b3dc2b2ee4e9e02

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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