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Frozen pre-match forecast · #8716

Tunari VS Urban Titu

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:31 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.17%
Draw
33.13%
Away
21.69%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4574
Log loss
0.7946

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:31 UTC
SHA-256
7693efb705c1b7604a7ab962cb0c05fdfc7d416036c69dad660fd1363a736a54

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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