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Frozen pre-match forecast · #87131

Atlético Monzón VS Huesca II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.09%
Draw
26.00%
Away
24.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3889
Log loss
0.7116

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
13ceb9316a1db9bef6042ae8650233b6ddb80f7a6580efa76e632c60708f4231

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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