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Frozen pre-match forecast · #87026

Brattvåg VS Sotra

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.18%
Draw
23.82%
Away
35.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5252
Log loss
0.8872

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
ae87014948f580efe27d1366cb8317c6aaf88f0e83a0d52364f8e6e3af0ab554

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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