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Frozen pre-match forecast · #86413

Zulte Waregem II VS Oudenaarde

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.37%
Draw
17.90%
Away
17.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.1199
Log loss
1.7203

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
4f6a071436a6964682e24a469cbecd7cb0eca1163e301752a4d8485bf623787b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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