Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #8615

Šencur VS Rudar Trbovlje

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:29 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.16%
Draw
33.29%
Away
32.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6503
Log loss
1.0741

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:29 UTC
SHA-256
78f0226e9aabc8b7debd08d9d28bbc2ec888ef0dd7ff23dddf337b9c14ad73f1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →