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Frozen pre-match forecast · #85925

FK Romanija Pale VS Laktaši

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
10.47%
Draw
17.79%
Away
71.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.3479
Log loss
2.2568

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
50b99aa0c893e3307a345d6b9ba0adf4a46796aee0ed90f800dd95972c042c74

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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