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Frozen pre-match forecast · #85909

Pirin Razlog VS Levski Sofia II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.37%
Draw
27.30%
Away
37.34%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5923
Log loss
0.9852

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
a923d3bce7ae35b4d0a70423813ccebe630bad09fa5cd74cd9dea89c52d5e9bf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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