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Frozen pre-match forecast · #85826

Kvik Trondheim VS Byåsen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.29%
Draw
19.43%
Away
61.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2249
Log loss
0.4897

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
1adcdc9311840e662bd6e960bf37cf5351229454262defb4a86a62fd5c0dc217

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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