Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #85606

Enköping VS Gefle IF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.82%
Draw
23.55%
Away
27.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3937
Log loss
0.7170

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
533203b05dfaf5a064ebe72ae1a26cf2da99e475ab818f3c588e1edad9cb37a1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →