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Frozen pre-match forecast · #85383

Jitex W VS Linköping W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.79%
Draw
19.60%
Away
57.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9664
Log loss
1.4788

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
46384bc96af26342ffdac4c805e14afe5e4edb88adab75e6217b089f85387720

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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