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Frozen pre-match forecast · #85285

Dhaka Wanderers VS Abahani

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
14.72%
Draw
21.91%
Away
63.38%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.2038
Log loss
0.4561

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
0036cbb2e6c766e562eb3449bc495cfc20b88a1ce035b83ea1007cb09c34e601

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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