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Frozen pre-match forecast · #85241

Rana VS Bodo/Glimt

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
3.43%
Draw
7.64%
Away
88.93%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 690-minute result
Brier score
0.0193
Log loss
0.1173

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
da6223a729c3a5596ee88092f6b02239431a0b80ff2716b6e10a612d058b095c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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