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Frozen pre-match forecast · #85146

VW Hamme VS Oostkamp

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.79%
Draw
23.87%
Away
41.34%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5221
Log loss
0.8833

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
927eb9db06582e702d0ac4775b75a89df3eb18268135fc952d4db73c8ca67368

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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