Frozen pre-match forecast · #85097
Madureira U20 VS Vasco da Gama U20
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 30 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 30 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 10.48%
- Draw
- 18.62%
- Away
- 70.90%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.1303
- Log loss
- 0.3439
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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Explore additional markets, team probability history and opponent-adjusted form. Historical coverage varies by match.
About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 30 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
- SHA-256
- 0933aed0e950079dda3cb3fb985ece5b24bf1767cc593aedc0a59c07701138a7
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.