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Frozen pre-match forecast · #84951

Andorra U21 VS Slovakia U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.70%
Draw
25.25%
Away
54.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3177
Log loss
0.6153

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
584ee59cfa3693169d7d9ca9f359d76db8d4ecabd7a55277261be44ddd5555f5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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