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Frozen pre-match forecast · #84919

Morocco U23 VS Tanzania U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 02:00 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.47%
Draw
20.70%
Away
18.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 02:00 UTC
SHA-256
9544ead31e41d1ffadc612b52f127097c9de7b0119cba7f4fc61f9fbf7f4b71e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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