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Frozen pre-match forecast · #8488

Teteks VS Osogovo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.68%
Draw
32.35%
Away
18.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7306
Log loss
1.1287

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
SHA-256
375cbf44e67946a10c284b618a4e39aeab01175a8db7e8ca74ae1cbca881b449

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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