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Frozen pre-match forecast · #84769

Ross County VS Forfar Athletic

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
92.28%
Draw
5.67%
Away
2.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.0096
Log loss
0.0803

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
SHA-256
0af0451035d71f7e7ec77c02efb38a16fc141468afefa79db8c3db65b11d2956

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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