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Frozen pre-match forecast · #84765

Fraserburgh VS Dundee II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.61%
Draw
22.06%
Away
37.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6063
Log loss
0.9854

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
SHA-256
b3b8408dbfb4b42224180ea7bd0cc44af5b362bf262780805572b7eda87c03dd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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