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Frozen pre-match forecast · #84752

Wrexham VS West Brom

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.52%
Draw
28.28%
Away
35.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6333
Log loss
1.0441

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
SHA-256
84cad4c43b3841dd5397d9f2afad36520b9a7bf65cfaa7c40ce27cd6a1d29116

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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