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Frozen pre-match forecast · #8474

Čapljina VS Rudar Kakanj

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.86%
Draw
32.20%
Away
23.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8746
Log loss
1.4296

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
SHA-256
4d8263a4d7a35da91acf1eb9307493e6a73a4b1264a32420db1ce6601675cc27

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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