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Frozen pre-match forecast · #84692

Petro de Luanda VS Kabuscorp

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.18%
Draw
25.42%
Away
11.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2132
Log loss
0.4592

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
SHA-256
4af6e56713e25024a8a758ef9b6534f29d5fc2d2aa99b0626f005cd661afe578

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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