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Frozen pre-match forecast · #84591

Ukraine U17 VS Turkey U17

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 10:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.44%
Draw
25.73%
Away
34.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6465
Log loss
1.0547

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
SHA-256
db71cb81c17c93bcf324a4ea48d78cd92e44001357284a913c67d68e295b417b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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