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Frozen pre-match forecast · #8445

Baník Prievidza VS Rača

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.94%
Draw
33.45%
Away
24.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8562
Log loss
1.4020

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
SHA-256
bef64a8a13af521f60bd4a68fbd4765acd627e9a2f4f0430031e5eaa6cd6e16d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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