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Frozen pre-match forecast · #84289

12 de Junio VH VS SOL DE America

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.98%
Draw
27.42%
Away
39.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7924
Log loss
1.2939

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
5bb67cd772133010629450688be5f55ca717603a5541a80b3b13e7a29a39658a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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