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Frozen pre-match forecast · #84247

Comunicaciones VS Suchitepéquez

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
68.92%
Draw
19.58%
Away
11.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1481
Log loss
0.3721

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
b2bf8a9a062a4b8410da1ca4004057afed1f0cc3138e12279875ae32c273e436

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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