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Frozen pre-match forecast · #83998

Sanluqueño VS Mijas Las Lagunas

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.23%
Draw
28.32%
Away
34.45%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7711
Log loss
1.2616

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
b23e31d3e35e874b655708798554bbb9791e6638104437f5ce2f2c95427302e8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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