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Frozen pre-match forecast · #83678

1908 SZAC VS SC Sopron

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.80%
Draw
24.30%
Away
45.89%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4406
Log loss
0.7788

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
8cb0770fe05cb1520d1dd6b1b12930270e9d95d4c2609f0cbc9f33ed2b4e92bc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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