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Frozen pre-match forecast · #83675

Tamaraceite VS Antoniano

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.47%
Draw
27.63%
Away
37.90%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6494
Log loss
1.0651

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
914a417b7a44d03f21b31dc5d19c6cf26715bac7e434d26c03e1c922676605ec

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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