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Frozen pre-match forecast · #8367

Sportlust '46 VS Dovo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:24 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.61%
Draw
29.79%
Away
33.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6035
Log loss
1.0048

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:24 UTC
SHA-256
be994cf29b2cb9de90b9d884e4bcf42d730427391fadf6210aa8e667cc970838

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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