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Frozen pre-match forecast · #83601

DAC II VS Komárno II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
67.70%
Draw
18.65%
Away
13.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1577
Log loss
0.3901

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
5968c7d0fd6db0bd280e7819a734cadd868ce7bca5dba9b95918a21f849ec0c2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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