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Frozen pre-match forecast · #83507

Westchester SC VS Alta

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.86%
Draw
22.61%
Away
20.54%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2794
Log loss
0.5647

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
3c64ea917e3146189436633bd8211f9e51ce8b07c44ba6b644331180f56d62b9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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