Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #83488

Brežice VS Primorje

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.56%
Draw
25.93%
Away
38.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8234
Log loss
1.3498

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
0a2e52ad9c98e45d04eeb9793d68d52a46792f747c713a87d224ca7cd025062a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →