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Frozen pre-match forecast · #83353

FC Lebbeke VS Ninove

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.01%
Draw
22.16%
Away
34.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4952
Log loss
0.8437

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
61866b7b54cd43c8ebbda0265051c3ec75e6d1de8908662a845837f9da158eac

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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