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Frozen pre-match forecast · #83320

Royal Antwerp II VS Cappellen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
72.80%
Draw
16.27%
Away
10.93%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1124
Log loss
0.3175

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
53dcc7e63fecfc1c7244157f30031ead7d8fd801cd9c808dad3dab3eb2ee70ba

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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