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Frozen pre-match forecast · #83086

Haddington Athletic VS Cumbernauld Colts

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.55%
Draw
23.57%
Away
33.88%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6738
Log loss
1.0823

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
e8dc6a110dd3e1b321fd92c67e259e1f6b12b63513ebe58bfbf513bb536bd2e9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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