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Frozen pre-match forecast · #83071

India VS Brazil

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.67%
Draw
23.29%
Away
57.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.2775
Log loss
0.5614

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
ef260ae7f86e82060d7750daad3d8809323f988389b2d7b228ebb402bb9cf6d5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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