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Frozen pre-match forecast · #83008

Cham VS Bulle

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.43%
Draw
23.46%
Away
28.11%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.8064
Log loss
1.2690

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
ce89823f991840968dcecf2606fde2b70c8c721c597630b9c02050706829a07a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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