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Frozen pre-match forecast · #8282

SVZW VS Harkemase Boys

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:23 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 12:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
6.65%
Draw
25.90%
Away
67.45%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1775
Log loss
0.3938

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:23 UTC
SHA-256
f14026019aa8a2fe80b61fa4e2c1ea75172024c50c496385c34ee3673bd859a5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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