Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #82750

Rotor-2 VS FK Spartak Tambov

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
10.79%
Draw
21.28%
Away
67.93%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1598
Log loss
0.3867

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
884f3044371eb65e87a9accac4e9bd53da8c1c5bf6a130c7c7e107a617f1e5cd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →