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Frozen pre-match forecast · #82541

Veszprém VS Sárisápi Bányász

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.80%
Draw
24.18%
Away
31.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8718
Log loss
1.4196

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
24b3cc75ed8a58f1c5cba14c3b27957984b329e30d1ccadaf06bd5a29526d1f7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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