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Frozen pre-match forecast · #8236

Tzeirey Tira VS Dimona

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:22 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.72%
Draw
27.74%
Away
53.54%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3278
Log loss
0.6247

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:22 UTC
SHA-256
56106c203e5742d70a4be5f72bcaa33860d891eb6a0d5e65d9f4b4d67dba03c1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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