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Frozen pre-match forecast · #82328

Oberwart VS SV Horn

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.10%
Draw
24.54%
Away
28.36%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4205
Log loss
0.7529

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
70b88366c39f0860cd8bfb5bb158bb5596e2fd1b951ad4e9117e5c698e232f9d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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