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Frozen pre-match forecast · #822

Huracán Res. VS Quilmes 2

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.66%
Draw
34.24%
Away
37.10%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7638
Log loss
1.2497

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
a473bb50d58d97797ae7d36715341759f714f39ac66b1476308780facb5d0f6c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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