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Frozen pre-match forecast · #82132

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa VS Hapoel Acre

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.85%
Draw
20.86%
Away
15.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1976
Log loss
0.4486

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
68145dcfc14cfb0ba914db7d4c8ee5475c66c348268029c8f8a343c28c8dbbf6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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