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Frozen pre-match forecast · #81950

Congo VS Cameroon

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
17.67%
Draw
26.16%
Away
56.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8920
Log loss
1.3409

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
570851d0bb08f5824be18fb714c7e099e4c3edd2528954482f4df918aa7ac4f0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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