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Frozen pre-match forecast · #81900

Oman VS Kuwait

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.61%
Draw
24.63%
Away
16.76%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2601
Log loss
0.5343

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
618f38106a2e5a4d68372c390ff877d8751bee10a1944554c4c17e0d7c2a9995

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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