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Frozen pre-match forecast · #8175

Sundby VS Holstebro

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
14.45%
Draw
32.99%
Away
52.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.1170
Log loss
1.9345

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
SHA-256
4fd3db2ba6af70706a5f95da42aec57137272f99282654ce9764f64b3bd68d13

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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