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Frozen pre-match forecast · #81399

Djerv VS Brann II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Match kickoff
12 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.03%
Draw
19.67%
Away
26.30%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3192
Log loss
0.6156

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
SHA-256
e5395b595757e253693e429eabbe8521cf67d9757391d405c1a2d9f7f3ec3f4a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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